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Cambridge United vs Stockport County: prediction and statistics

England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Team stats: Cambridge United · Stockport County

Before kick-off

Cambridge United host Stockport County in League One on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Stockport County are 2nd of 24, Cambridge United 10th — a gap of 8 places. Stockport County are part of the leading group.

Cambridge United have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Stockport County are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 10 and 10.

Home matches have been a struggle for Cambridge United (2024/25–2026/27) — 8 wins, 8 draws and 14 defeats in 30 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 on average. On the road Stockport County are a dangerous side — 22 wins, 18 draws and 16 defeats in 56 away matches, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

The 7 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Cambridge United 4, Stockport County 1, draws 2. Last time out (6 December 2025) it ended Stockport County 4:5 Cambridge United. On average these meetings produce 3.6 goals.

Form

Cambridge United: last five matches — W-W-D-L-W.

Stockport County: last five matches — W-W-D-L-W.

Table: Cambridge United — 10, Stockport County — 2 (of 24).

Home and away record

Cambridge United at home and Stockport County away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Cambridge UnitedStockport County
Matches3056
Wins · draws · losses8-8-1422-18-16
Goals scored per match1.21.4
Goals conceded per match1.51.1

Head to head

7 meetings in our database: Cambridge United won 4, 2 draws, Stockport County won 1. Per match: 3.6 goals.

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Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Cambridge United home games and 43% of Stockport County away games.
  • Our model sees an open game: Cambridge United 41%, draw 26%, Stockport County 34%.

Corners

64%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: Cambridge United 5.7, Stockport County 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 52%, typical match 44%.

Yellow cards

71%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Cambridge United 1.6, Stockport County 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 32%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 49%.

Result

Our model: Cambridge United win 41%, draw 26%, Stockport County win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Cambridge UnitedStockport County
Win rate27%39%
Over 2.5 goals43%43%
Both teams score57%54%
Total corners per match9.49.3
Over 9.5 corners40%48%
Total yellow cards per match4.43.9
Over 4.5 yellow cards40%34%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 6.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.5 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

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