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Bradford vs Doncaster: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bradford · Doncaster
Before kick-off
Bradford host Doncaster in League One on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Bradford are 8th of 24, Doncaster 21st — a gap of 13 places.
Bradford arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Doncaster are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Bradford took 12 from that stretch and Doncaster only 3.
Home advantage matters here: Bradford have 18 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats in 30 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Away from home Doncaster have 9 wins, 4 draws and 17 defeats in 30 matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game.
The 22 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Bradford 10, Doncaster 9, draws 3. Last time out (31 January 2026) it ended Bradford 1:0 Doncaster. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Bradford: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
- 10 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 9 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Doncaster: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Bradford — 8, Doncaster — 21 (of 24).
Home and away record
Bradford at home and Doncaster away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bradford | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 30 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-6-6 | 9-4-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Bradford won 10, 3 draws, Doncaster won 9. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 31.01.2026: Bradford 1:0 Doncaster
- 11.11.2025: Doncaster 3:1 Bradford
- 06.09.2025: Doncaster 3:1 Bradford
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Bradford should win the corner count: 7.0 expected against 3.8 for Doncaster.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 37% of Bradford home games and 60% of Doncaster away games.
- Our model makes Bradford the favourite at 73%; a draw is 18%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: Bradford 7.0, Doncaster 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Bradford 1.8, Doncaster 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Bradford win 73%, draw 18%, Doncaster win 9%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 40%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Bradford | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 37% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.2 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.