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Huddersfield vs Leicester: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Huddersfield · Leicester
Before kick-off
Huddersfield host Leicester in League One on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Huddersfield are 1st of 24, Leicester 11th — a gap of 10 places.
Huddersfield have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Leicester: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games.
The home record of Huddersfield (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 25 wins, 16 draws and 12 defeats in 53 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. On the road Leicester are a dangerous side — 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 6 away matches, 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
History favours Leicester — 9 wins from 13 meetings with Huddersfield. Last time out (13 August 2025) it ended Huddersfield 5:4 Leicester. On average these meetings produce 3.7 goals.
Form
Huddersfield: last five matches — W-W-D-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Leicester: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.
- 10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Huddersfield — 1, Leicester — 11 (of 24).
Home and away record
Huddersfield at home and Leicester away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Huddersfield | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 25-16-12 | 2-3-1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Huddersfield won 2, 2 draws, Leicester won 9. Per match: 3.7 goals.
- 13.08.2025: Huddersfield 5:4 Leicester
- 01.01.2024: Leicester 4:1 Huddersfield
- 12.08.2023: Huddersfield 0:1 Leicester
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Huddersfield the favourite at 51%; a draw is 23%.
- Leicester has won 9 of the last 13 meetings with Huddersfield.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Huddersfield home games and 50% of Leicester away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: Huddersfield 4.9, Leicester 5.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Huddersfield 1.7, Leicester 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Huddersfield win 51%, draw 23%, Leicester win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 62%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Huddersfield | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 47% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 12.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 62% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 17% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.