Xpect
Reading vs Bromley: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Reading host Bromley in League One on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Reading are 7th of 24, Bromley 24th — a gap of 17 places. Bromley are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Reading have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Bromley no victory — 5 defeats. Counted in points, Reading took 10 from that stretch and Bromley only 0.
The home record of Reading (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 29 wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats in 53 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Bromley find it hard on the road: 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats in 7 away matches, 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. Last time out (8 August 2026) it ended Bromley 1:1 Reading.
Form
Reading: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Bromley: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 losses in a row · away
Table: Reading — 7, Bromley — 24 (of 24).
Home and away record
Reading at home and Bromley away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Reading | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 7 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 29-12-12 | 1-1-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.7 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Reading won 0, 1 draws, Bromley won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 08.08.2026: Bromley 1:1 Reading
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Reading should win the corner count: 6.4 expected against 4.0 for Bromley.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Reading home games and 71% of Bromley away games.
- Our model makes Reading the favourite at 76%; a draw is 15%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Reading 6.4, Bromley 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Reading 1.7, Bromley 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Reading win 76%, draw 15%, Bromley win 9%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Reading | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 55% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 71% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 43% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 15.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.