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Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Chesterfield · Shrewsbury
Before kick-off
League Two, 21 November 2026: Chesterfield are at home to Shrewsbury. Chesterfield go into the match 7th of 24 in the table, Shrewsbury are 10th.
Few sides are in better shape than Chesterfield right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Shrewsbury have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 11 against 10.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Chesterfield have 24 wins, 21 draws and 10 defeats in 55 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Shrewsbury — 6 wins, 6 draws and 18 defeats in 30 away matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 6 meetings — wins: Chesterfield 3, Shrewsbury 2; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Chesterfield 2:3 Shrewsbury. On average these meetings produce 3.7 goals.
Form
Chesterfield: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Shrewsbury: last five matches — L-W-W-D-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Chesterfield — 7, Shrewsbury — 10 (of 24).
Home and away record
Chesterfield at home and Shrewsbury away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Chesterfield | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 55 | 30 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 24-21-10 | 6-6-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Chesterfield won 3, 1 draws, Shrewsbury won 2. Per match: 3.7 goals.
- 07.03.2026: Chesterfield 2:3 Shrewsbury
- 20.12.2025: Shrewsbury 0:1 Chesterfield
- 11.03.2017: Chesterfield 1:1 Shrewsbury
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 51% of Chesterfield’s home matches and 53% of Shrewsbury’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Chesterfield: 6.1 against 3.3 for Shrewsbury.
- Chesterfield is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 21%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Chesterfield 6.1, Shrewsbury 3.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 53%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Chesterfield 1.7, Shrewsbury 2.4; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Chesterfield win 64%, draw 21%, Shrewsbury win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 49%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Chesterfield | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 7.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 23% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 53% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.