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Accrington ST vs Salford City: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Accrington ST · Salford City
Before kick-off
Accrington ST host Salford City in League Two on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Salford City are 1st of 24, Accrington ST 13th — a gap of 12 places.
Accrington ST have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Salford City are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Accrington ST (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 17 wins, 20 draws and 16 defeats in 53 matches, 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. On the road Salford City are a dangerous side — 24 wins, 13 draws and 18 defeats in 55 away matches, 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
The 10 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Accrington ST 5, Salford City 3, draws 2. Last time out (6 October 2026) it ended Accrington ST 1:1 Salford City. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
Accrington ST: last five matches — W-D-W-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Salford City: last five matches — D-W-W-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Accrington ST — 13, Salford City — 1 (of 24).
Home and away record
Accrington ST at home and Salford City away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Accrington ST | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 55 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-20-16 | 24-13-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Accrington ST won 5, 2 draws, Salford City won 3. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 06.10.2026: Accrington ST 1:1 Salford City
- 05.02.2026: Accrington ST 1:0 Salford City
- 16.08.2025: Salford City 2:1 Accrington ST
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Accrington ST home games and 51% of Salford City away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Accrington ST 37%, draw 26%, Salford City 38%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Accrington ST 5.0, Salford City 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Accrington ST 1.9, Salford City 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Accrington ST win 37%, draw 26%, Salford City win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Accrington ST | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 32% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 42% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 7.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.