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Barnet vs Port Vale: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Barnet · Port Vale
Before kick-off
League Two, 21 November 2026: Barnet are at home to Port Vale. Barnet sit 2nd in the 24-team table while Port Vale are 17th, so 15 places separate the two sides. Barnet are part of the leading group.
Recent results of Barnet are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Port Vale are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for Barnet against 2 for Port Vale.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Barnet have 14 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats in 30 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Port Vale: 10 wins, 8 draws and 11 defeats in 29 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 6 meetings — wins: Barnet 1, Port Vale 3; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 13 March 2018, finished Barnet 1:1 Port Vale. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Barnet: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Port Vale: last five matches — L-L-D-D-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Barnet — 2, Port Vale — 17 (of 24).
Home and away record
Barnet at home and Port Vale away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Barnet | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 29 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-8-8 | 10-8-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Barnet won 1, 2 draws, Port Vale won 3. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 13.03.2018: Barnet 1:1 Port Vale
- 18.11.2017: Port Vale 1:0 Barnet
- 09.02.2013: Barnet 0:0 Port Vale
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Barnet is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 23%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 63% of Barnet’s home matches and 38% of Port Vale’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Barnet: 6.3 against 3.9 for Port Vale.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Barnet 6.3, Port Vale 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Barnet 1.9, Port Vale 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Barnet win 54%, draw 23%, Port Vale win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Barnet | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 47% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 31% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.