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Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Crawley Town · Fleetwood Town
Before kick-off
Crawley Town host Fleetwood Town in League Two on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Fleetwood Town are 11th of 24, Crawley Town 24th — a gap of 13 places. Crawley Town are in the bottom three.
Crawley Town have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Fleetwood Town no victory — 5 defeats. Counted in points, Crawley Town took 5 from that stretch and Fleetwood Town only 0.
Home matches have been a struggle for Crawley Town (2024/25–2026/27) — 5 wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats in 29 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 on average. Away from home Fleetwood Town have 16 wins, 12 draws and 25 defeats in 53 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 per game.
History favours Fleetwood Town — 3 wins from 5 meetings with Crawley Town. Last time out (21 March 2026) it ended Fleetwood Town 1:0 Crawley Town. On average these meetings produce 1.8 goals.
Form
Crawley Town: last five matches — W-D-L-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Fleetwood Town: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Crawley Town — 24, Fleetwood Town — 11 (of 24).
Home and away record
Crawley Town at home and Fleetwood Town away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Crawley Town | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 5-12-12 | 16-12-25 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Crawley Town won 2, 0 draws, Fleetwood Town won 3. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 21.03.2026: Fleetwood Town 1:0 Crawley Town
- 08.11.2025: Crawley Town 2:1 Fleetwood Town
- 01.12.2019: Crawley Town 1:2 Fleetwood Town
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Fleetwood Town has won 3 of the last 5 meetings with Crawley Town.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 41% of Crawley Town home games and 51% of Fleetwood Town away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Crawley Town 4.9, Fleetwood Town 5.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Crawley Town 1.9, Fleetwood Town 2.4; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Crawley Town win 27%, draw 27%, Fleetwood Town win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Crawley Town | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 17% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 69% | 62% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 47% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 14.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.