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Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim: prediction and statistics
Germany · Bundesliga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Eintracht Frankfurt · TSG Hoffenheim
Before kick-off
Eintracht Frankfurt host TSG Hoffenheim in Bundesliga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th, TSG Hoffenheim 9th in a table of 18.
Eintracht Frankfurt have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for TSG Hoffenheim: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Eintracht Frankfurt took 10 from that stretch and TSG Hoffenheim only 5.
The home record of Eintracht Frankfurt (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 19 wins, 9 draws and 10 defeats in 38 matches, 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away from home TSG Hoffenheim have 12 wins, 11 draws and 15 defeats in 38 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.5 per game in home matches of Eintracht Frankfurt and 3.4 in away matches of TSG Hoffenheim.
The 34 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Eintracht Frankfurt 14, TSG Hoffenheim 11, draws 9. Last time out (24 January 2026) it ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 TSG Hoffenheim. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
TSG Hoffenheim: last five matches — L-W-D-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Eintracht Frankfurt — 10, TSG Hoffenheim — 9 (of 18).
Home and away record
Eintracht Frankfurt at home and TSG Hoffenheim away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Eintracht Frankfurt | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 38 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-9-10 | 12-11-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.9 |
Head to head
34 meetings in our database: Eintracht Frankfurt won 14, 9 draws, TSG Hoffenheim won 11. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 24.01.2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 TSG Hoffenheim
- 30.08.2025: TSG Hoffenheim 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 26.01.2025: TSG Hoffenheim 2:2 Eintracht Frankfurt
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 68% of Eintracht Frankfurt home games and 66% of TSG Hoffenheim away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Eintracht Frankfurt 4.9, TSG Hoffenheim 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 50%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.8, TSG Hoffenheim 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 35%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 65%.
Result
Our model: Eintracht Frankfurt win 46%, draw 21%, TSG Hoffenheim win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 75%, both teams to score — 74%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Eintracht Frankfurt | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 66% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 66% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 74% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 26% | 34% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.