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Enisey vs Volga Ulyanovsk: prediction and statistics
Russia · First League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Enisey · Volga Ulyanovsk
Before kick-off
First League, 21 November 2026: Enisey are at home to Volga Ulyanovsk. Enisey go into the match 14th of 18 in the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th.
Recent results of Enisey are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Volga Ulyanovsk have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 9 against 8.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Enisey have 21 wins, 12 draws and 9 defeats in 42 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. The away record of Volga Ulyanovsk: 6 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats in 26 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 3 of the 7 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Volga Ulyanovsk 1:2 Enisey. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Enisey: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Volga Ulyanovsk: last five matches — D-W-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Enisey — 14, Volga Ulyanovsk — 9 (of 18).
Home and away record
Enisey at home and Volga Ulyanovsk away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Enisey | Volga Ulyanovsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 26 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-12-9 | 6-10-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.5 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Enisey won 2, 3 draws, Volga Ulyanovsk won 2. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 11.07.2026: Volga Ulyanovsk 1:2 Enisey
- 01.03.2026: Enisey 1:1 Volga Ulyanovsk
- 11.10.2025: Volga Ulyanovsk 2:4 Enisey
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 36% of Enisey’s home matches and 54% of Volga Ulyanovsk’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 3 of 7 meetings.
- No clear favourite in our model: 35% – 27% – 38%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.6 corners in the match: Enisey 4.6, Volga Ulyanovsk 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 37% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 51%, typical match 43%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Enisey 2.2, Volga Ulyanovsk 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Enisey win 35%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Enisey | Volga Ulyanovsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 29% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 17% | 83% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 50% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.