Xpect
Foolad FC vs Sepahan FC: prediction and statistics
Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Foolad FC · Sepahan FC
Before kick-off
Foolad FC host Sepahan FC in Persian Gulf Pro League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Foolad FC are 4th and Sepahan FC 1st out of 18 teams.
Foolad FC arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Sepahan FC are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Foolad FC (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 11 draws and 5 defeats in 32 matches, 1.1 scored and 0.6 conceded per game. On the road Sepahan FC are a dangerous side — 14 wins, 15 draws and 3 defeats in 32 away matches, 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.7 per game in home matches of Foolad FC and 1.9 in away matches of Sepahan FC.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 8 in 19 meetings. Last time out (15 December 2025) it ended Foolad FC 0:1 Sepahan FC. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
Foolad FC: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Sepahan FC: last five matches — L-D-W-D-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Foolad FC — 4, Sepahan FC — 1 (of 18).
Home and away record
Foolad FC at home and Sepahan FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Foolad FC | Sepahan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 32 | 32 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-11-5 | 14-15-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Foolad FC won 3, 8 draws, Sepahan FC won 8. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 15.12.2025: Foolad FC 0:1 Sepahan FC
- 30.03.2025: Sepahan FC 2:0 Foolad FC
- 27.10.2024: Foolad FC 2:2 Sepahan FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 8 of the 19 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 31% of Foolad FC home games and 25% of Sepahan FC away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Foolad FC 30%, draw 32%, Sepahan FC 38%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Foolad FC 1.8, Sepahan FC 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 71%, typical match 72%.
Result
Our model: Foolad FC win 30%, draw 32%, Sepahan FC win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 37%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Foolad FC | Sepahan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 42% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 0.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.