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Oxford United vs Wycombe: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Oxford United · Wycombe
Before kick-off
Oxford United host Wycombe in League One on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Oxford United are 3rd of 24, Wycombe 13th — a gap of 10 places. Oxford United are in the top three.
Oxford United have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Wycombe right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 10 and 11.
Home advantage matters here: Oxford United have 4 wins and 3 draws in 7 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.6 per game. Away from home Wycombe have 18 wins, 18 draws and 17 defeats in 53 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.
The 19 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Oxford United 7, Wycombe 7, draws 5. Last time out (17 February 2024) it ended Wycombe 0:0 Oxford United. On average these meetings produce 2.3 goals.
Form
Oxford United: last five matches — D-W-W-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Wycombe: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Oxford United — 3, Wycombe — 13 (of 24).
Home and away record
Oxford United at home and Wycombe away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Oxford United | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 4-3-0 | 18-18-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Oxford United won 7, 5 draws, Wycombe won 7. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 17.02.2024: Wycombe 0:0 Oxford United
- 28.10.2023: Oxford United 2:2 Wycombe
- 24.01.2023: Wycombe 2:0 Oxford United
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Oxford United the favourite at 60%; a draw is 21%.
- Oxford United should win the corner count: 6.3 expected against 4.8 for Wycombe.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Oxford United home games and 51% of Wycombe away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 11.1 corners in the match: Oxford United 6.3, Wycombe 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 67% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 55%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Oxford United 1.7, Wycombe 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Oxford United win 60%, draw 21%, Wycombe win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Oxford United | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 57% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 62% |
| Total corners per match | 12.0 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 86% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 30% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.