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Ska-khabarovsk vs Rotor Volgograd: prediction and statistics
Russia · First League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ska-khabarovsk · Rotor Volgograd
Before kick-off
Ska-khabarovsk host Rotor Volgograd in First League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Ska-khabarovsk are 15th and Rotor Volgograd 10th out of 18 teams.
Ska-khabarovsk have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Rotor Volgograd: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Ska-khabarovsk took 10 from that stretch and Rotor Volgograd only 5.
The home record of Ska-khabarovsk (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 17 wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats in 41 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away from home Rotor Volgograd have 12 wins, 16 draws and 14 defeats in 42 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 per game.
The 10 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Ska-khabarovsk 2, Rotor Volgograd 5, draws 3. Last time out (20 July 2026) it ended Rotor Volgograd 1:0 Ska-khabarovsk. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Ska-khabarovsk: last five matches — D-W-L-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Rotor Volgograd: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Ska-khabarovsk — 15, Rotor Volgograd — 10 (of 18).
Home and away record
Ska-khabarovsk at home and Rotor Volgograd away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Ska-khabarovsk | Rotor Volgograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 42 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-12-12 | 12-16-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Ska-khabarovsk won 2, 3 draws, Rotor Volgograd won 5. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 20.07.2026: Rotor Volgograd 1:0 Ska-khabarovsk
- 18.04.2026: Ska-khabarovsk 1:2 Rotor Volgograd
- 07.09.2025: Rotor Volgograd 1:0 Ska-khabarovsk
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 49% of Ska-khabarovsk home games and 31% of Rotor Volgograd away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 26%, Rotor Volgograd 36%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Ska-khabarovsk 4.4, Rotor Volgograd 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Ska-khabarovsk 2.0, Rotor Volgograd 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Ska-khabarovsk win 39%, draw 26%, Rotor Volgograd win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ska-khabarovsk | Rotor Volgograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 7.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 0% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 38% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.