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Tranmere vs Colchester: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tranmere · Colchester
Before kick-off
League Two, 21 November 2026: Tranmere are at home to Colchester. Tranmere sit 15th in the 24-team table while Colchester are 21st, so 6 places separate the two sides.
Recent results of Tranmere are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Colchester are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 8 for Tranmere against 2 for Colchester.
Tranmere have not made their ground a fortress: 15 wins, 18 draws and 20 defeats in 53 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. The away record of Colchester: 14 wins, 20 draws and 19 defeats in 53 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 20 meetings — wins: Tranmere 7, Colchester 6; draws: 7. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Tranmere 0:1 Colchester. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Tranmere: last five matches — W-D-D-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Colchester: last five matches — L-D-L-D-L.
- 9 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Tranmere — 15, Colchester — 21 (of 24).
Home and away record
Tranmere at home and Colchester away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Tranmere | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-18-20 | 14-20-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Tranmere won 7, 7 draws, Colchester won 6. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 06.04.2026: Tranmere 0:1 Colchester
- 02.08.2025: Colchester 1:1 Tranmere
- 01.02.2025: Tranmere 1:3 Colchester
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 41% – 28% – 31%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 38% of Tranmere’s home matches and 34% of Colchester’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Tranmere 4.8, Colchester 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Tranmere 1.9, Colchester 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 69%.
Result
Our model: Tranmere win 41%, draw 28%, Colchester win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Tranmere | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 28% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 40% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.