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Plymouth vs Peterborough: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Plymouth · Peterborough
Before kick-off
League One, 21 November 2026: Plymouth are at home to Peterborough. Plymouth sit 6th in the 24-team table while Peterborough are 22nd, so 16 places separate the two sides. Peterborough are in the bottom three.
Recent results of Plymouth are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Results have gone against Peterborough recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for Plymouth against 4 for Peterborough.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Plymouth have 13 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats in 30 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Peterborough: 13 wins, 9 draws and 31 defeats in 53 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 12 meetings — wins: Plymouth 5, Peterborough 7; draws: 0. The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Peterborough 0:1 Plymouth. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Plymouth: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Peterborough: last five matches — L-W-L-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Plymouth — 6, Peterborough — 22 (of 24).
Home and away record
Plymouth at home and Peterborough away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Plymouth | Peterborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-5-12 | 13-9-31 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Plymouth won 5, 0 draws, Peterborough won 7. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 17.01.2026: Peterborough 0:1 Plymouth
- 20.09.2025: Plymouth 0:1 Peterborough
- 25.02.2023: Peterborough 5:2 Plymouth
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Plymouth is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 21%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Plymouth’s home matches and 60% of Peterborough’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Plymouth 5.0, Peterborough 5.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Plymouth 1.9, Peterborough 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Plymouth win 61%, draw 21%, Peterborough win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Plymouth | Peterborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 66% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 42% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.