Xpect
Sampdoria vs Benevento: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie B · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sampdoria · Benevento
Before kick-off
Serie B, 21 November 2026: Sampdoria are at home to Benevento. Benevento sit 7th in the 20-team table while Sampdoria are 14th, so 7 places separate the two sides.
An uneven run for Sampdoria: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Benevento have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 6 against 6.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Sampdoria have 18 wins, 12 draws and 13 defeats in 43 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Benevento travel well: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 6 away matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.9 per game in home matches of Sampdoria and 1.7 in away matches of Benevento.
Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: Sampdoria 1, Benevento 2; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 7 February 2021, finished Benevento 1:1 Sampdoria. On average these meetings produce 3.8 goals.
Form
Sampdoria: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Benevento: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Sampdoria — 14, Benevento — 7 (of 20).
Home and away record
Sampdoria at home and Benevento away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sampdoria | Benevento | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-12-13 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Sampdoria won 1, 1 draws, Benevento won 2. Per match: 3.8 goals.
- 07.02.2021: Benevento 1:1 Sampdoria
- 26.09.2020: Sampdoria 2:3 Benevento
- 06.01.2018: Benevento 3:2 Sampdoria
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 31% – 28% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of Sampdoria’s home matches and 17% of Benevento’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Sampdoria 5.3, Benevento 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Sampdoria 2.2, Benevento 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 54%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: Sampdoria win 31%, draw 28%, Benevento win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sampdoria | Benevento | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 17% |
| Both teams score | 37% | 17% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 75% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 63% | 50% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.