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West Ham vs Preston: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: West Ham · Preston
Before kick-off
Championship, 21 November 2026: West Ham are at home to Preston. West Ham sit 9th in the 24-team table while Preston are 24th, so 15 places separate the two sides. Preston are in the bottom three.
West Ham are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Preston are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) West Ham have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 7 matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Preston — 10 wins, 17 draws and 26 defeats in 53 away matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 on average.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
West Ham: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Preston: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 11 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: West Ham — 9, Preston — 24 (of 24).
Home and away record
West Ham at home and Preston away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| West Ham | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 3-1-3 | 10-17-26 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 86% of West Ham’s home matches and 55% of Preston’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from West Ham: 8.0 against 2.7 for Preston.
- West Ham is the more likely winner in our model: 79%, draw 13%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: West Ham 8.0, Preston 2.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: West Ham 1.5, Preston 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: West Ham win 79%, draw 13%, Preston win 8%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| West Ham | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 62% |
| Total corners per match | 11.9 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 29% | 28% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.