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Wolves vs Charlton: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Wolves host Charlton in Championship on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Wolves are 5th of 24, Charlton 19th — a gap of 14 places.
Wolves have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Charlton no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats. Counted in points, Wolves took 10 from that stretch and Charlton only 1.
Home advantage matters here: Wolves have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 7 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 per game. Away from home Charlton have 5 wins, 12 draws and 13 defeats in 30 matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6 per game.
The 8 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Wolves 2, Charlton 3, draws 3. Last time out (28 December 2015) it ended Charlton 0:2 Wolves. On average these meetings produce 2.3 goals.
Form
Wolves: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Charlton: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · away
Table: Wolves — 5, Charlton — 19 (of 24).
Home and away record
Wolves at home and Charlton away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Wolves | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 30 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 4-2-1 | 5-12-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Wolves won 2, 3 draws, Charlton won 3. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 28.12.2015: Charlton 0:2 Wolves
- 29.08.2015: Wolves 2:1 Charlton
- 24.01.2015: Wolves 0:0 Charlton
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Wolves the favourite at 68%; a draw is 20%.
- Wolves should win the corner count: 7.9 expected against 2.4 for Charlton.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Wolves home games and 43% of Charlton away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Wolves 7.9, Charlton 2.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Wolves 1.6, Charlton 2.4; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Wolves win 68%, draw 20%, Charlton win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 43%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Wolves | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 57% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 71% | 33% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.